النافذة الديموغرافية الليبية "دراسة في فرص الظهور و الاستفادة منها "

Abstract

This study dealt with the Libyan demographic window and the opportunities for its emergence and the extent to which it can be utilized. The importance of the study lies in identifying the demographic shifts and changes that have occurred in the Libyan population, from studying the demographic transition of the Libyan society by studying the relationship between birth and death rates, and the indications of the emergence of the demographic window through an index of rates Fertility, infant mortality rate, dependency rates, and changing proportions of the working-age population from 15 to 64 years. It also examined the extent of benefit from the demographic window by studying the relationship between the actually employed population and the non-working population of the working age population, and the study concluded that the birth and death rates have decreased significantly since From 1950 to 2015 and that rates decreased either the general fertility rate or the total fertility rate, the infant mortality rate decreased from 254 per thousand to 12 per thousand, and the proportions of the working-age population increased from 46.5% in 1984 to 67.4% in 2019 and that the growth rates of the population In the working age, it was higher than the growth rates of the total population, and that the percentage of actually employed persons of working age is still low and constitutes 47.7% in 2012, and that the unemployed The percentage of those of working age is high, at 52.3%.